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Business
Sure bet
A gambling term referring to something believed to have a guaranteed outcome; in finance it often refers to perceived arbitrage opportunities, though true ‘sure bets’ are rare.
Markets are efficient, so true sure bets rarely exist. What seems certain often carries hidden risks.It’s like thinking you’ve found a game you can’t lose.
Real world: Traders identify price differences across markets as ‘sure bets’.
💡 If something looks risk-free, look closer—it usually isn’t.